Ephraim Suhir is Foreign Full Member (Academician) of the National Academy of Engineering, Ukraine (he was born in that country); Life Fellow of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE); the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME), the Society of Optical Engineers (SPIE) and the International Microelectronics and Packaging Society (IMAPS); Fellow of the American Physical Society (APS), the Institute of Physics (IoP), UK, and the Society of Plastics Engineers (SPE); and Associate Fellow of the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA). He has authored about 400+ publications (patents, technical papers, book chapters, books), presented numerous keynote and invited talks worldwide, and received many professional awards, including the 1996 Bell Labs Distinguished Member of Technical Staff Award and the 2004 ASME Worcester Read Warner Medal for outstanding contributions to the permanent literature of engineering. He is the third Russian American, after S.Timoshenko and I.Sikorsky, who received this prestigious award.
Human-in-the-Loop: Predictive Modeling of the Likelihood of a Vehicular Mission or an Extraordinary Situation Outcome
Ephraim Suhir is Foreign Full Member (Academician) of the National Academy of Engineering, Ukraine (he was born in that country); Life Fellow of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE); the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME), the Society of Optical Engineers (SPIE) and the International Microelectronics and Packaging Society (IMAPS); Fellow of the American Physic...read more
Improvements in successful and safe operation of an aerospace, maritime, or an automotive vehicle can be achieved through better ergonomics, better work environment, and other efforts of the traditional human psychology and ergonomic science that directly affect human behaviors and performance. There is also a significant potential for further reduction in vehicular accidents and casualties and for assuring the success and safety of a vehicular mission or an extraordinary situation through better understanding the role that various uncertainties play in the planner’s and operator’s worlds of work, when never-perfect human, never completely failure-free navigation equipment and instrumentation, never 100%-predictable response of the object of control (an air- or a space-craft, a boat, or a car), and uncertain and often harsh environments contribute jointly to the likelihood of a never-completely-failure-free mission or a situation. By employing quantifiable and measurable ways of assessing the role and significance of various critical uncertainties and treating a human-in-the-loop as a part (often the most critical part) of a complex man–instrumentation–equipment–vehicle–environment system, one could improve dramatically the state-of-the-art in assuring, on the probabilistic basis, a vehicular mission success and operational safety. The webinar addresses mostly aerospace missions and off-normal situations, but indicates also how the suggested models and methodologies can be applied in automotive and maritime engineering. The general concepts are illustrated by practical examples.
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